
The latest claim made by Telugu Desam Party president and Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu at a training camp in Mangalagiri, that the TDP faces no threat of defeat in future
elections, has kicked up a big debate in media circles.
One does not know whether Naidu made the claim only to enthuse party leaders and cadre or whether he is really confident of his leadership.
But it has certainly made analysts draw parallels with the overconfidence displayed by former Chief Minister Y S Jagan Mohan Reddy ahead of the 2024 Assembly elections.
At the party meeting a couple of days ago, Chandrababu Naidu declared that the TDP was taking all necessary precautions to ensure that the party would not face electoral defeat again.
He cited continuous surveys, candidate assessments, grassroots feedback mechanisms, welfare implementation, democratic governance and self-correction within the party as reasons for his confidence.
Naidu also pointed to the coalition’s emphatic victory in the 2024 elections and said surveys had indicated an increase in the TDP’s vote share by another eight percent, as the party had succeeded in reconnecting with the people.
“This is nothing but overconfidence. Before the 2024 elections, the YSRCP chief, too, displayed similar confidence. Riding on the strength of the YSRCP’s massive 151-seat victory in 2019, Jagan repeatedly popularised the slogan ‘Why Not 175?’, projecting confidence that his party could win every Assembly constituency in the state,” a political observer said.
The slogan eventually turned out to be a big hoax, as Jagan failed to realise the growing disconnect between the party and the people and gauge the changing public mood.
The party suffered a crushing defeat in 2024, with the TDP-led NDA alliance sweeping the elections and reducing the YSRCP to a fraction of its previous strength.
Political analysts argue that while Chandrababu Naidu’s statement is more nuanced than Jagan’s “Why Not 175” campaign, the underlying message carries a similar risk.
“The wording may be different, but the political message is similar,” said a senior political observer.
“Jagan said ‘Why Not 175?’ and now Chandrababu Naidu says there is no possibility of defeat. Both reflect a belief that the party has discovered a formula for permanent electoral success. Such assumptions can be dangerous,” the analyst said.
He said maintaining public support would depend less on past victories and more on governance performance over the next three years.
“Such claims that the TDP’s vote share has gone up will only create a false sense of security within the party,” the analyst said.
Naidu himself attempted to address such concerns during his speech by stressing the importance of self-criticism and course correction.
He told party leaders that the TDP continuously conducts surveys, assesses public feedback and is willing to remove leaders whose actions harm the party or the government.